Jerry Marlow, MBA Valuing Stock Options in Divorce Proceedings |
Are the stock options in the divorce you're handling being valued at their full and fair economic value? The valuation models coming into play under the FASB 123 rules are almost as unfair to non-employee spouses as is "intrinsic-value" methodology. The FASB 123 rules prescribe how corporations should account for employee stock options in their financial reports. People refer to the models being used under FASB 123 as "option-valuation models." But that's not what they are. They are models for estimating the expense that a corporation is likely to incur from issuing options. Most of the models assume that an employee will exercise the options "suboptimally." In other words the models assume the employee will engage in a bad bargain. A model that posits and factors in bad bargains does not produce fair economic values. When stock options are undervalued in a divorce, the non-employee spouse does not receive her or his fair share of that portion of the marital wealth. To make it easier for attorneys, their clients, and courts to understand the economic value of options and to ensure that options are valued fully and fairly, I offer two services: seminars and valuations. Seminar: How to Value Stock Options in Divorce Proceedings With the publication of Option Pricing: Black-Scholes Made Easy in 2001, I introduced a powerful new way for the non-mathematician to understand option-valuation theory. Computer simulations show clearly that the value of an option is the probability-weighted present value of the option's possible payoffs. Seminar attendees, finance professors, investors and the financial press all have hailed the educational and analytic power of the simulations I have created. With the understanding that this technology makes attainable, as an attorney or expert witness, you can say to a judge, “Your honor, to value these options, we looked at how much the price of this company’s stock jumps around in the marketplace. We conservatively assumed that, on average, the stock will perform no better than a government bond. Based on those two factors and using the standard model of how stock prices change over time, we ran a million simulations of what the payoff of these options might be when they expire in seven years. The average payoff for the options was $26.24. The present value of $26.24 is $19.85. Hence, based on conservative assumptions and standard option-valuation methodologies, the fair economic value of these 10,000 options is $198,500. That value is fully consistent with the value of options for sale in the financial markets today." In seminars on option valuation, I explain and demonstrate the theory, the models, and the methodology that allow an attorney or an expert witness to make this kind of statement. To do so, I use the Option Pricing: Black-Scholes Made Easy simulations and similar software I have developed for binomial pricing models. The technically accurate and highly visual simulations make it easy for anyone to understand the economic value of options and how options are valued in the financial marketplace. Attendees at my seminars are amazed at how quickly they can master heretofore difficult topics. If you would like for me to conduct a one- or two-day seminar for your firm, colleagues or professional organization, I would welcome the opportunity to do so. The seminar will teach you to think about options in a new and highly visual way. You will understand how to value stock options at their full and fair economic value. You will learn how to explain mainstream option-valuation methodologies to non-mathematicians. To arrange for a seminar, contact me at (917) 817-8659 or jerrymarlow@jerrymarlow.com. Download Seminar Notes If you would like to know more about the seminar topics and to see screen captures of some of the simulations I use, you can download a copy of my seminar notes. Valuation of Stock Options in Divorce Proceedings As usually explained option-pricing theory is difficult for the non-mathematician to understand. Only a small percentage of judges have advanced degrees in mathematics. Unless an attorney or option expert can explain option-valuation methodology in a way that a court can understand, stock options that are part of marital wealth may end up being undervalued. The fair economic value of any financial asset is the probability-weighted present value of its possible future cash flows. Standard, generally accepted option-pricing theories provide systematic methodologies with which to determine this value. The determinants of an option’s value are the current market price of the underlying stock, how much the market price of the stock is expected to jump around (stock-price volatility), the risk-free rate of return, the option’s strike or exercise price, the option’s length of time to expiration, and the amounts of any dividends the underlying stock is expected to pay. In the option valuations that I do, I use the technology I have developed to demonstrate how these factors translate into an option’s probability-weighted present value: The greater the uncertainty about a stock’s future value, the greater the value of an option written on that stock. The longer an option’s time to expiration, the greater the option’s value. (An option’s so-called “intrinsic value” is the value the option would have if its time to expiration were zero.) At their time of issue, employee stock options typically have times to expiration of seven to ten years. The option values I arrive at are fully consistent with the values of options traded in the financial marketplace. The documentation I provide is easy to understand. If you are handling a divorce in which stock options are a significant part of the marital property and you would like for the options to be valued at their full and fair economic value, then have me value the options for you. I can show you, your client, and the court how the value of the options is obtained in a way that you and they can understand. You can contact me at (917) 817-8659 or jerrymarlow@jerrymarlow.com. Sample Option Valuation To download a sample valuation, click sample option valuation. Information I Need To find out what information I need you to gather so I can value your or your spouse's options, click information I need to value your options. Fee Schedule For my fee schedule and payment terms, click fee schedule. Valuation Methodology If you would like to know more about the methodology I use to value stock options, download a copy of my seminar notes.
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What seminar attendees, finance professors, investors, and the financial press have to say about Jerry Marlow's seminars, simulations and approach to teaching option-pricing methodologies Just a brief thank you for the two-day course on valuing options (with an emphasis on divorce valuation) that you presented to my group last week. The group consisted of a number of my peers/competitors, all of us moderately to heavily experienced in forensic accounting and business valuations. Thus, it was not an easy audience to satisfy. However, you did it. We all recognize how dry the options valuation topic is, but nonetheless, my personal reaction and those of my fellow attendees was most positive. All of us felt that we got considerable value out of the program, and insight into how to best approach the issue of the valuation of options. We certainly all appreciate your offer to stay in touch, and to bounce questions off you, and to in general continue to exchange information for our mutual benefits. Once again, thanks and best wishes. Thank you for presenting the Black-Scholes Made Easy and option-valuation seminar. It was interesting and informative, and as the title of your book suggests, your presentation skills and graphics, did make it easy to follow and understand. My dozen CPA colleagues attending the seminar from other firms, all came away with the same impression: you were able to take a subject that is, at best, difficult to understand and make it intelligible. I look forward to future seminars, and wish you much success with the option-valuation program. I have tried Jerry Marlow's Black-Scholes Made Easy and plan to make it a requirement for my investments classes. Its animations provide intuitively clear visual explanations of the fundamental nature of stock market risk. It is an ideal complement to textbooks such as my own (Bodie, Kane, and Marcus, Investments). I have been using my own Excel simulations to illustrate this material in the past, but Marlow's animations blow mine away. Simply wonderful stuff!!" Extremely easy to follow. I can't praise it highly enough. Any student or trainee having to study this topic really should buy this tutorial. Having a degree in Mathematics and a professional accountancy qualification did not prepare me for the explanations of Black Scholes to be found in most text books. They may have got a Nobel prize for their option pricing model but Black and Scholes were never going to get an award for clarity of explanation. Having grappled with this area for a few months, I decided I needed a little more innovative help; hence my purchase of Jerry Marlow's interactive tutorial. Two days later and I feel I could go for the next Nobel prize myself! So many things click into place so quickly, it's marvelous. Jerry gives his email address which I had to resort to for one query. He answered most helpfully within a couple of hours. The simulation is a good one. A deep insight into the price process pops out clearly. In my next semester course "Black-Scholes Made Easy" will be a useful tool for giving the necessary intuitive view of the matter. I thoroughly enjoyed the presentation. I am looking forward to receiving all the "goodies" which you promised. Thanks for a grand tutorial on Friday, and for making a huge contribution to the investment community. You are truly an "explainer extraordinaire." Futures Magazine calls the Black-Scholes animation "A joy to use" and of "enormous value as a teaching tool for students, novice traders and those who suddenly find themselves in need of a reference for option behavior." I am new to options and will be using the book and software to learn about them. I have started to read the first chapters and using the software and I am pleased to report that it has made understanding options so much easier. Thank you. Financial Engineering News says, I've read several books on options and have traded options on a regular basis. I felt like I had a pretty good handle on the concepts and mechanics. Black-Scholes Made Easy took these abstract ideas and provided a concrete visual experience to solidify them in my head. To see the probabilities and assumptions expressed graphically really enhanced my understanding of options as well as stocks. I believe anyone wanting to get a firm grasp on options, whatever their current level of knowledge, would benefit from Black-Scholes Made Easy. I wish that this program had been available when I first starting learning options. |
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